India may gain from trade restrictions against China says IMF Chief Economist

  • Industry News
  • Jul 03,24
The US and EU recently announced higher import duties on some Chinese products and FDI from China is already facing heightened scrutiny in several parts of the world.
India may gain from trade restrictions against China says IMF Chief Economist

International Monetary Fund (IMF) Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said India may benefit from tariff and other actions against China. “India is already benefiting from large FDI inflow since 2020… Countries that are not very connected with China may be in a position to benefit more if the measures (higher tariffs) are extended to countries that do a lot of trade with China… India is in that space,” he said at the TN Srinivasan Memorial lecture, adding that the gains from trade may not be so large. 

The US and EU recently announced higher import duties on some Chinese products and FDI from China is already facing heightened scrutiny in several parts of the world. Gourinchas cautioned that fragmentation can impact trade flows, capital flows and labour flows. In the short term, it may affect supply and inflation. Global cooperation may be more difficult to address challenges like climate, debt problems or technological changes. 

He said there is an emergence of connector countries, such as Vietnam and Mexico, which are gaining market share in US imports and they have received more FDI and exports from China since 2017. Countries that export more to the US are importing more from China, not just at the macro level but even in certain product categories. “You see the same thing for FDI — more FDI from China into a country translates into more export from that country to the US,” the IMF chief economist said. He, however, cautioned that the diversification has resulted in lengthening of the supply chain, and not necessarily a reorganisation of the supply chain. “Trade flows are making more stops.” He also said some of the financial flows are re-routed through offshore financial centres. “The cost of fragmentation is difficult to estimate. A number of countries that remain non-aligned can benefit,” Gourinchas said. 

India fast bridging gap with China, Vietnam on phone exports India's mobile phone exports have surged, fueled by the smartphone PLI scheme and strategic partnerships with major players like Apple and Samsung. The country's success in capturing a significant share of the market, as confirmed by global trade data, marks a significant milestone in its efforts to attract supply chain shifts and boost electronics exports.

Former Pakistani Finance Minister Miftah Ismail highlights the potential trade benefits between Pakistan and India, drawing parallels with successful trade relationships despite political tensions. He emphasizes the importance of economic strength in representing Kashmiri aspirations internationally and cites specific products that could flourish in a normalised trade scenario. 


(Source: TOI)

Related Stories

Electrical & Electronics
Vadodara power equipment makers see strong growth amid renewable energy boom

Vadodara power equipment makers see strong growth amid renewable energy boom

Vadodara has been a key player in power equipment manufacturing for five decades, home to around 200 medium and large manufacturers, including major names like ABB, Siemens, and Schneider Electric.

Read more
Electrical & Electronics
Govt to establish R&D centre for renewable energy components: Pralhad Joshi

Govt to establish R&D centre for renewable energy components: Pralhad Joshi

In addition, Joshi revealed that a dedicated task force, including officials from the power ministry, MNRE, and key industry stakeholders, will be formed to expedite the efforts needed to meet the 5..

Read more
Electrical & Electronics
Electronics sector to create 12 million jobs, but skill gap remains: Report

Electronics sector to create 12 million jobs, but skill gap remains: Report

India's domestic electronics production reached $101 billion in FY23, with mobile phones accounting for 43%, followed by consumer electronics, industrial electronics, and auto electronics.

Read more

Related Products

Hi There!

Now get regular updates from IPF Magazine on WhatsApp!

Click on link below, message us with a simple hi, and SAVE our number

You will have subscribed to our Industrial News on Whatsapp! Enjoy

+91 84228 74016